March 15, 2018

Read e-book online Analyzing Wimbledon: The Power of Statistics PDF

By Franc Klaassen

ISBN-10: 0199355959

ISBN-13: 9780199355952

The sport of tennis increases many questions which are of curiosity to a statistician. Is it precise that commencing to serve in a suite offers a bonus? Are new balls a bonus? Is the 7th online game in a collection relatively vital? Are most sensible avid gamers extra strong than different avid gamers? Do actual champions win the large issues? those and lots of different questions are formulated as "hypotheses" and verified statistically.

Analyzing Wimbledon additionally discusses how the result of a fit should be estimated (even whereas the fit is in progress), which issues are vital and which aren't, how one can decide on an optimum carrier process, and no matter if "winning temper" truly exists in tennis. geared toward readers with a few wisdom of arithmetic and data, the publication makes use of tennis (Wimbledon particularly) as a motor vehicle to demonstrate the ability and wonder of statistical reasoning.

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Below we pro- 42 Analyzing Wimbledon Prob. 4: Clijsters-Williams profile, US Open 2010 (¯ p = 65%) vide the profile for an even higher value of p¯, namely 65%. What is the effect on the profile? 3. Again we conclude that the profile is not sensitive to the specification of pi + pj . Djokovic-Nadal, Australian Open 2012 Finally, from the Australian Open, we look at the profile of the 2012 final, where Novak Djokovic (seeded 1) defeated Rafael Nadal (seeded 2) in five sets: 5-7, 6-4, 6-2, 6-7, 7-5. It was the longest grand slam final ever: five hours and fifty-three minutes.

Maybe they play differently at 40-0 than at 30-40 (breakpoint). When this happens the points are not identically distributed. We assume that points are identically distributed. Of course, points have different characteristics (such as the score), but the probability of winning a point is the same, at least if hypothesis 1 holds. The iid assumption is, in fact, more than an assumption; it is also a strategy. The strategy involves not living in the past or in the future, but only in the present. What happened at the previous point is no longer relevant.

Television broadcasts inform us about the percentage of ball possession in football, the number of home runs in baseball, and the number of aces and double faults in tennis. All these statistics provide some insight into the question which player or team performs particularly well in a match, and therefore also (indirectly) into the question who is more likely to win. Surprisingly, however, a direct estimate of the probability that a player or a team wins the match is not shown. In this chapter we provide such a direct estimate for tennis.

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Analyzing Wimbledon: The Power of Statistics by Franc Klaassen

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